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Bernstein: India Strategy — Why India Needs Its Own DeepSeek

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Bernstein contends that India must develop its own DeepSeek-style indigenous artificial intelligence model to reduce reliance on external technology and capture domestic opportunities. The report highlights India's considerable talent pool and cost advantages in AI, while flagging the country's significant deficit in large-scale compute infrastructure as a critical bottleneck.

By building a domestically developed foundation model, India could substantially lower AI application costs across priority sectors such as agriculture and healthcare, where deployment potential remains largely untapped. Government policy support is identified as essential for driving this initiative forward, alongside targeted investments in computing capacity and talent cultivation.

Bernstein draws parallels to China's DeepSeek, arguing that India should emulate this success to establish technological sovereignty. A self-reliant AI ecosystem would not only address local market needs but also elevate India's competitive standing in the global technology landscape. The report critiques India's current AI strategy as overly broad and insufficiently concentrated, noting that efforts are spread thin across multiple layers without achieving critical mass in any single area.

Export controls and technology restrictions imposed on India further underscore the urgency of building indigenous capabilities. The report suggests that a systemic approach — spanning infrastructure, applications, and platforms — is necessary rather than isolated initiatives. No specific investment recommendations, timelines, or target prices were provided in the available text.

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