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JPMorgan: Coherent Corp — Key Takeaways from Investor Meetings with CEO

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Key Views

Management expressed strong optimism regarding 800G optical transceiver demand and expects revenue growth to accelerate in the second half of 2026. The company highlighted its competitive position in AI-driven data center markets, benefiting from continued AI infrastructure investment.

Key discussion points included:

  • 800G optical modules: Robust demand expected to drive 2H 2026 revenue acceleration
  • AI data centers: Coherent holds a leading position in high-speed optical modules
  • FY2027 outlook: Management conveyed a positive tone but did not provide specific quantitative targets
  • Capacity expansion: Production capacity is being scaled to meet customer demand, with what management characterized as reasonable capital expenditure plans
  • Gross margin: Expected to improve, supported by product mix optimization

Outlook

Investor attention centered on the sustainability of AI-driven demand and potential supply chain risks. The report noted no explicit catalysts, timelines, or quantitative verification points.

Recommended Securities

  • Coherent Corp (COHR) — Overweight rating, target price unchanged. Rationale: Strong AI data center demand and favorable 800G optical module outlook support the long-term growth thesis.

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